Published papers
2021
Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Sonali Chowdhry
German Economic Review, 22 (4): 415–446, November 2021
The Role of the Diaspora in the Internationalization of the Colombian Economy — with Ljubica Nedelkoska, Andre Assumpcao, Ana Grisanti, Matte Hartog, Jessie Lu, Daniela Muhaj, Eric Protzer, Annalee Saxenian and Ricardo Hausmann
CID Faculty Working Paper, No. 397. May 2021
Worth the pain? Firms' exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet , Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner
European Economic Review, 134: 103683, January 2021
Working papers
To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support — with Robert Gold and Michele Valsecchi
CESifo Working Paper No. 11033, March 2024. Revise and resubmit at the Journal of the European Economic Association
Exchange Rate Pass-Around — with Matthieu Crozet and Federico Trionfetti
Kiel Working Papers, 2247, April 2023. Revise and resubmit at the International Economic Review
Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market — with Gabriel Felbermayr , Sebastian Krantz , Hendrik Mahlkow and Joschka Wanner
Kiel Working Papers, 2309, December 2025. Reject and resubmit at the Journal of Economic Geography
Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures — with Carsten Philipp Brockhaus and Charles Serfaty
Banque de France Working Paper, 1057, August 2026
PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade — with Carsten Brockhaus and Irene Iodice
Kiel Working Paper, 2318, April 2026
Vibe Coding Kills Open Source — with Miklós Koren , Gábor Békés and Aaron Lohmann
arXiv working paper arXiv:2601.15494, January 2026
Blowback: The Effect of Sanctions on Democratic Elections — with Matthieu Crozet
Kiel Working Papers, 2246, April 2023
Selected work-in-progress
A Critical-Inputs Playbook: What the Strait of Hormuz Tells Europe Intereconomics, 61(3), June 2026
Der EU-Binnenmarkt als Schutzschild: Wie Europa den Handelskrieg mit den USA abfedert — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Sebastian Krantz, Hendrik Mahlkow and Joschka Wanner
Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, 2026(1)
Trumps Zölle: Chaotische Entkopplung — with Sonali Chowdhry and Hendrik Mahlkow
Wirtschaftsdienst (Leitartikel), 105(4), April 2025
Lieferketten: Geoökonomie im Roten Meer — with Katrin Kamin
Wirtschaftsdienst, 104(2): 74. February 2024
Sanctions coalitions: Stronger together — with Sonali Chowdhry , Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner
VoxEU, October 2022
Engaging the Diaspora in Internationalizing Colombia's Economy — with Ricardo Hausmann , Ljubica Nedelkoska and AnnaLee Saxenian
UNIDO Industrial Analytics Platform, March 2022
Firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet , Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner
VoxEU, March 2021
Venezuelans Deserve Refugee Status — with Ricardo Hausmann
Project Syndicate, May 2018
Transpazifische Partnerschaft TPP: Totgeglaubte leben länger Wirtschaftsdienst, December 2017
Collateral damage: The impact of the Russia sanctions on sanctioning countries’ exports — with Matthieu Crozet
VoxEU, July 2016
Policy papers and reports
Competing with China in Third Markets — with Sonali Chowdhry and Katharina Erhardt
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 213. June 2026
The Ukraine Support Tariff: How Europe Can Support Ukraine and Weaken Russia — with Moritz Schularick
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 212. June 2026
The Cost of Closing the Strait of Hormuz: Energy Bottlenecks and Global Food Security — with Hendrik Mahlkow , Robin Sogalla and Gerald Willmann
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 206. March 2026
America’s Own Goal: Who Pays the Tariffs? — with Anna Vorwig, Hendrik Mahlkow and Aaron Lohmann
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 201. January 2026
The EU–India Trade Deal: Strategic Diversification in an Era of Uncertainty — with Rolf J. Langhammer , Hendrik Mahlkow and Vasundhara Thakur
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 202. January 2026
Prinzipien für eine europäische Industrie- und Handelspolitik für das geoökonomische Zeitalter — with Irene Iodice and Moritz Schularick
Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 26(3): 290–298, September 2025
An Alliance for Open Trade: How to Counter Trump's Tariffs — with Keith Head, Isabelle Méjean, Emanuel Ornelas and Moritz Schularick
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 194. July 2025
Diversifizieren, nicht reagieren: Europas neuer Weg in der Handelspolitik — with Hendrik Mahlkow and Sonali Chowdhry
WIFO Research Briefs, 5/2025. April 2025
The Consequences of the Trump Trade War for Europe — with Isabelle Méjean and Moritz Schularick
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 190. April 2025
Dealing with Global Economic Challenges: An Agenda for the New Federal Government — with Frank Bickenbach, Eckhardt Bode, Dirk Dohse, Holger Görg, Tobias Heidland, Rolf J. Langhammer, Wan-Hsin Liu, Wilfried Rickels and Moritz Schularick
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 182. February 2025
US Trade Policy after 2024: What Is at Stake for Europe? — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Rolf J. Langhammer
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 178. October 2024
Time to Be Open, Sustainable, and Assertive: Tariffs on Chinese BEVs and Retaliatory Measures — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Klaus S. Friesenbichler and Hendrik Mahlkow
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 177. July 2024
Navigating Trade Restrictions — with Vasily Astrov, Carsten Brockhaus, Levke Jessen-Thiesen, Hendrik Mahlkow and Patrik Šváb
Russia Monitor, No. 3, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw). February 2024
Coalitions for Sanctions Heighten Costs for Russia but Burden of Implementation Should Be Shared among Member Countries — with Sonali Chowdhry, Joschka Wanner and Katrin Kamin
DIW Weekly Report, 14(8): 65–72. February 2024
Was wäre wenn? Die Auswirkungen einer harten Abkopplung von China auf die deutsche Wirtschaft — with David Baqaee, Benjamin Moll, Moritz Schularick, Feodora A. Teti, Joschka Wanner and Sihwan Yang
Kiel Policy Brief, Nr. 170. 2024
An Analysis of the Implementation of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) — with Carsten Philipp Brockhaus, Sonali Chowdhry, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vasundhara Thakur
In-Depth Analysis for the European Parliament (INTA), PE 754.440. November 2023
The Brussels Effect 2.0: How the EU Sets Global Standards with Its Trade Policy — with Elisabeth Christen, Birgit Meyer, Harald Oberhofer, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner
FIW-Research Report, No. 2022-07
Effects of the AfCFTA for German and European Companies — with Sonali Chowdhry, Anna Jacobs and Rainer Thiele
IfW Kiel Study, October 2022
Potential Economic Benefits of the African Continental Free Trade Area for Africa and the EU — with Sonali Chowdhry, Anna Jacobs and Rainer Thiele
PEGNet Policy Brief, No. 28/2022
Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Sonali Chowdhry, Anna-Katharina Jacobs, Sandra Kill and Alexander Sandkamp
IfW Studie, May 2021
Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse — with Martin Ademmer, Joscha Beckmann, Eckhardt Bode, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Manuel Funke, Philipp Hauber, Tobias Heidland, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths, Mareike Söder, Vincent Stamer and Ulrich Stolzenburg
Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik. No. 32, Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW), Kiel. February 2021
Datenmonitor global — Wie die Corona-Krise die Länder des globalen Südens trifft — with Katrin Kamin, Jakob Kutsch, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer
IfW Studie im Auftrag des Auswärtigen Amtes, December 2020
The Economic Costs of War by Other Means — with Sonali Chowdhry, Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Anna-Katharina Jacobs and Hendrik Mahlkow
Kiel Policy Brief, No. 147, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel. October 2020
Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer
Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 2, May 2020
Germany's economy in times of the Corona Lockdown — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Hendrik Mahlkow
Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 1, April 2020
Russia’s and the EU’s Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Franz Sinabell
Friendly fire: Zu den Handelsauswirkungen der Russlandsanktionen IfW-Box, No. 2017.17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. 2017
Auswirkungen der Wirtschaftssanktionen der EU und Russlands auf Wertschöpfung und Beschäftigung in Österreich und der EU — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Gerhard Streicher
WIFO Monographien, December 2016
Sanctions et embargos : quels impacts sur le commerce de la france vers la russie ? — with Matthieu Crozet
La lettre du CEPII, April 2016
Last updated on October 10, 2026. © Julian Hinz 1987–2026.