Research

My research agenda covers three broad themes: International trade, in particular its political economy and connection with foreign policy, the spatial dimension of international trade and migration, often in the context of the so-called gravity equation, and applied econometrics. My work is characterized by policy-relevant research questions that make use of state-of-the-art quantitative methods often involving big data, as well as devising and implementing econometric techniques to handle such types of data.

Articles

2021

Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Sonali Chowdhry. German Economic Review, https://doi.org/10.1515/ger-2020-0063. details link
Worth the pain? Firms' exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. European Economic Review, 134: 103683. details latest draft

2020

Critically Important: The Heterogeneous Effect of Diplomatic Tensions on Trade — with Elsa Leromain. Review of Industrial Organization, 57 (2), 309–331, 2020. details link
Friendly Fire: The Trade Impact of the Russia Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet. Economic Policy, 35 (101): 97 – 146. details link

Working Papers

Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia — with Evgenii Monastyrenko. Accepted by the Journal of International Economics. details latest draft
State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in the Extensive Margin of Trade — with Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. Update coming soon. details link
The Ties that Bind: Geopolitical Motivations for Economic Integration . Revision requested by the Review of World Economics. details link
Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Fast Estimation of GLMs with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects — with Alexander Hudletz and Joschka Wanner. Work in progress. details latest draft
The View from Space: Theory-based Time-varying Distances in the Gravity Model . Update coming soon. details latest draft
Measuring Venezuelan Emigration with Twitter — with Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed A. Yıldırım. details link

Book Chapters

2019

Cost of Sanctions: Estimating Lost Trade with Gravity . In Disrupted Economic Relationships, CESifo Seminar Series at MIT Press, V. Nitsch and T. Besedeš eds. details link

Commentary

2021

Firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU. link

2018

Venezuelans Deserve Refugee Status — with Ricardo Hausmann. Project Syndicate. link

2017

Transpazifische Partnerschaft TPP: Totgeglaubte leben länger . Wirtschaftsdienst. link

2016

Collateral damage: The impact of the Russia sanctions on sanctioning countries’ exports — with Matthieu Crozet. VoxEU. link

Policy Reports

2021

Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Sonali Chowdhry, Anna-Katharina Jacobs, Sandra Kill and Alexander Sandkamp. IfW Studie. link
Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse — with Martin Ademmer, Joscha Beckmann, Eckhardt Bode, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Manuel Funke, Philipp Hauber, Tobias Heidland, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths, Mareike Söder, Vincent Stamer and Ulrich Stolzenburg. Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik. No. 32, Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW), Kiel.. link

2020

Datenmonitor global — Wie die Corona-Krise die Länder des globalen Südens trifft — with Katrin Kamin, Jakob Kutsch, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. IfW Studie im Auftrag des Auswärtigen Amtes. link
The Economic Costs of War by Other Means — with Sonali Chowdhry, Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Anna-Katharina Jacobs and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 147, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel.. link
Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 2. link
Germany's economy in times of the Corona Lockdown — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 1. link

2017

Russia’s and the EU’s Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Franz Sinabell. link

2016

Auswirkungen der Wirtschaftssanktionen der EU und Russlands auf Wertschöpfung und Beschäftigung in Österreich und der EU — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Gerhard Streicher. link
Sanctions et embargos : quels impacts sur le commerce de la france vers la russie ? — with Matthieu Crozet. La lettre du CEPII. link