Research

My research agenda covers three broad themes: International trade, in particular its political economy and connection with foreign policy, the spatial dimension of international trade and migration, often in the context of the so-called gravity equation, and applied econometrics. My work is characterized by policy-relevant research questions that make use of state-of-the-art quantitative methods often involving big data, as well as devising and implementing econometric techniques to handle such types of data.

Articles

2021

Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Sonali Chowdhry. Forthcoming in the German Economic Review. details link
Worth the pain? Firms' exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. European Economic Review, 134: 103683. details latest draft

2020

Critically Important: The Heterogeneous Effect of Diplomatic Tensions on Trade — with Elsa Leromain. Review of Industrial Organization, 57 (2), 309–331, 2020. details link
Friendly Fire: The Trade Impact of the Russia Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet. Economic Policy, 35 (101): 97 – 146. details link

Working Papers

2020

State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in the Extensive Margin of Trade — with Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. Under review. details link

2019

Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia — with Evgenii Monastyrenko. Revision requested by the Journal of International Economics. details latest draft
Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Fast Estimation of GLMs with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects — with Alexander Hudletz and Joschka Wanner. Work in progress. details latest draft

2018

Measuring Venezuelan Emigration with Twitter — with Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed A. Yıldırım. Work in progress. details link

2017

The Ties that Bind: Geopolitical Motivations for Economic Integration . Revision requested by the Review of World Economics. details link
The View from Space: Theory-based Time-varying Distances in the Gravity Model . Under review. details latest draft

Book Chapters

2019

Cost of Sanctions: Estimating Lost Trade with Gravity . In Disrupted Economic Relationships, CESifo Seminar Series at MIT Press, V. Nitsch and T. Besedeš eds. details link

Commentary

2021

Firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU. link

2018

Venezuelans Deserve Refugee Status — with Ricardo Hausmann. Project Syndicate. link

2017

Transpazifische Partnerschaft TPP: Totgeglaubte leben länger . Wirtschaftsdienst. link

2016

Collateral damage: The impact of the Russia sanctions on sanctioning countries’ exports — with Matthieu Crozet. VoxEU. link

Policy Reports

2021

Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Sonali Chowdhry, Anna-Katharina Jacobs, Sandra Kill and Alexander Sandkamp. link
Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse — with Martin Ademmer, Joscha Beckmann, Eckhardt Bode, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Manuel Funke, Philipp Hauber, Tobias Heidland, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths, Mareike Söder, Vincent Stamer and Ulrich Stolzenburg. link

2020

Datenmonitor global — Wie die Corona-Krise die Länder des globalen Südens trifft — with Katrin Kamin, Jakob Kutsch, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. link
The Economic Costs of War by Other Means — with Sonali Chowdhry, Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Anna-Katharina Jacobs and Hendrik Mahlkow. link
Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. link
Germany's economy in times of the Corona Lockdown — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Hendrik Mahlkow. link

2017

Russia’s and the EU’s Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Franz Sinabell. link

2016

Auswirkungen der Wirtschaftssanktionen der EU und Russlands auf Wertschöpfung und Beschäftigung in Österreich und der EU — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Gerhard Streicher. link
Sanctions et embargos : quels impacts sur le commerce de la france vers la russie ? — with Matthieu Crozet. link