Hi, I’m Julian Hinz.

I am an empirical economist studying issues in international economics, most often related to economic integration and disintegration. I am fond of unconventional, often big data, as well as the econometrics needed to work with such data. I work on topics related to sanctions, trade costs, migration, and political economy, and develop tools for the estimation of models with high-dimensional fixed effects.

Recent output

• Exchange Rate Pass-Around — with Matthieu Crozet and Federico Trionfetti. Kiel Working Papers, 2246, April 2023. Revise and resubmit at the Journal of the European Economic Association.
• Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes — with Uğur Aytun and Cem Özgüzel. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 231: 106821, March 2025.
• To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support — with Robert Gold and Michele Valsecchi. CESifo Working Paper No. 11033, March 2024. Revise and resubmit at the Journal of the European Economic Association.
• What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy — with David Baqaee, Benjamin Moll, Moritz Schularick, Feodora Teti, Joschka Wanner and Sihwan Yang. in "Paris Report 2: Europe's Economic Security", Jean Pisani-Ferry, Beatrice Weder di Mauro, and Jeromin Zettelmeyer (eds), CEPR Press, Paris & London. May 2024.
• Brothers in arms: The value of coalitions in sanctions regimes — with Sonali Chowdhry, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner. Economic Policy, 39 (118): 471–512, April 2024.

Recent talks

• 2025-06-11
  "Discussion of “The Economic Consequences of Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea” by Charles Serfaty" — Banque de France, Paris.   Slides
• 2025-06-10
  "When dispersed teams are more successful: Evidence from software" — OECD, Paris.   Slides   Related research
• 2025-05-26
  "Zukunft der Stahlindustrie in Deutschland und Europa: Internationales Umfeld" — Fachgespräch: Perspektiven der Stahlindustrie in Deutschland und Europa - Online.   Slides

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