Hi, I’m Julian Hinz.

I am an empirical economist studying issues in international economics, most often related to economic integration and disintegration. I am fond of unconventional, often big data, as well as the econometrics needed to work with such data. I work on topics related to sanctions, trade costs, migration, and political economy, and develop tools for the estimation of models with high-dimensional fixed effects.

Recent output

• Competing with China in Third Markets — with Sonali Chowdhry and Katharina Erhardt. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 213. June 2026.
• The Ukraine Support Tariff: How Europe Can Support Ukraine and Weaken Russia — with Moritz Schularick. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 212. June 2026.
• PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade — with Carsten Brockhaus and Irene Iodice. Kiel Working Paper, 2318, April 2026.
• The Cost of Closing the Strait of Hormuz: Energy Bottlenecks and Global Food Security — with Hendrik Mahlkow, Robin Sogalla and Gerald Willmann. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 206. March 2026.
• Vibe Coding Kills Open Source — with Miklós Koren, Gábor Békés and Aaron Lohmann. arXiv working paper arXiv:2601.15494, January 2026.
• America’s Own Goal: Who Pays the Tariffs? — with Anna Vorwig, Hendrik Mahlkow and Aaron Lohmann. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 201. January 2026.

Recent talks

• 2026-06-30
  "Discussion of “China tariffs” — by Antràs & Presbitero" — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin.
• 2026-06-30
  "Competing with China in Third Markets" — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin.
• 2026-06-16
  "Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures" — Research Seminar, RWTH Aachen.

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