Hi, I’m Julian Hinz.

I am an empirical economist studying international economics, most often related to economic integration and disintegration. My work centers on sanctions, trade policy, and economic security, and more broadly on how goods, people, and ideas move across borders. I am fond of unconventional, often big data and the quantitative tools needed to make sense of it. Much of my research feeds into policy — through the KITE model and advisory work for the German Bundestag and the European Commission.

Featured

KITE Simulating tariffs, sanctions, and trade agreements — the model behind the Kiel Institute's trade-policy analyses.

PLAID Product-level trade indicators, rebuilt at the source with LLMs — for modern HS data instead of decades-old concordances.

Navigating Shocks Who pays when the Red Sea closes? Ship-level data and a model of chokepoints, congestion, and canal tolls.

To Russia with Love? Do sanctions undermine regime support? Evidence from Russian elections suggests the opposite.

Recent output

Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures — with Carsten Philipp Brockhaus and Charles Serfaty Banque de France Working Paper, 1057, August 2026
Competing with China in Third Markets — with Sonali Chowdhry and Katharina Erhardt Kiel Policy Brief, No. 213. June 2026
A Critical-Inputs Playbook: What the Strait of Hormuz Tells Europe Intereconomics, 61(3), June 2026
The Ukraine Support Tariff: How Europe Can Support Ukraine and Weaken Russia — with Moritz Schularick Kiel Policy Brief, No. 212. June 2026
Der EU-Binnenmarkt als Schutzschild: Wie Europa den Handelskrieg mit den USA abfedert — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Sebastian Krantz, Hendrik Mahlkow and Joschka Wanner Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, 2026(1)
PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade — with Carsten Brockhaus and Irene Iodice Kiel Working Paper, 2318, April 2026

Recent talks

2026-09-18 “Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market” — Panel “Trade and Trade Wars”, World Trade Forum 2026, University of Bern
2026-06-30 “Competing with China in Third Markets” — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin
2026-06-30 “Discussion of “China tariffs” — by Antràs & Presbitero” — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin

Contact

Emailmail@julianhinz.com X@julianhinz Bluesky@julianhi.nz LinkedInJulian Hinz GitHub@julianhinz

Bielefeld University
Faculty of Business Administration and Economics
Universitätsstraße 25
33615 Bielefeld, Germany

Kiel Institute for the World Economy
Kiellinie 66
24105 Kiel, Germany