Research
My research agenda covers three broad themes: International trade, in particular its political economy and connection with foreign policy, the spatial dimension of international trade and migration, often in the context of the so-called gravity equation, and applied econometrics. My work is characterized by policy-relevant research questions that make use of state-of-the-art quantitative methods often involving big data, as well as devising and implementing econometric techniques to handle such types of data.Published papers
- 2022
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Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia
— with Evgenii Monastyrenko. Journal of International Economics, 137, 103581, July 2022.
details
link
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The Ties that Bind: Geopolitical Motivations for Economic Integration
. Review of World Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-022-00461-6, July 2022.
details
link
- 2021
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Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany
— with Gabriel Felbermayr and Sonali Chowdhry. German Economic Review, https://doi.org/10.1515/ger-2020-0063.
details
link
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Worth the pain? Firms' exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions
— with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. European Economic Review, 134: 103683.
details
link
- 2020
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Critically Important: The Heterogeneous Effect of Diplomatic Tensions on Trade
— with Elsa Leromain. Review of Industrial Organization, 57 (2), 309–331, 2020.
details
link
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Friendly Fire: The Trade Impact of the Russia Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions
— with Matthieu Crozet. Economic Policy, 35 (101): 97 – 146.
details
link
- 2022
- Bearing the cost of politics: Consumer prices and welfare in Russia — with Evgenii Monastyrenko. Journal of International Economics, 137, 103581, July 2022. details link
- The Ties that Bind: Geopolitical Motivations for Economic Integration . Review of World Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-022-00461-6, July 2022. details link
- 2021
- Après-ski: The Spread of Coronavirus from Ischgl through Germany — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Sonali Chowdhry. German Economic Review, https://doi.org/10.1515/ger-2020-0063. details link
- Worth the pain? Firms' exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. European Economic Review, 134: 103683. details link
- 2020
- Critically Important: The Heterogeneous Effect of Diplomatic Tensions on Trade — with Elsa Leromain. Review of Industrial Organization, 57 (2), 309–331, 2020. details link
- Friendly Fire: The Trade Impact of the Russia Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet. Economic Policy, 35 (101): 97 – 146. details link
Working Papers
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What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy
— with David Baqaee, Moritz Schularick, Feodora Teti, Joschka Wanner and Sihwan Yang. Policy Paper.
details
link
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Blowback: The Effect of Sanctions on Democratic Election
— with Matthieu Crozet. Kiel Working Papers, 2247.
details
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Brothers in arms: The value of coalitions in sanctions regimes
— with Sonali Chowdhry, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner. Accepted for publication at Economic Policy.
details
link
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Exchange Rate Pass-Around
— with Matthieu Crozet and Federico Trionfetti. Kiel Working Papers, 2246. Reject and resubmit at Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics.
details
link
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To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support
— with Robert Gold and Michele Valsecchi. Kiel Working Papers, 2212.
details
link
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State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in the Extensive Margin of Trade
— with Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. Update coming soon.
details
link
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Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Fast Estimation of GLMs with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects
— with Alexander Hudletz and Joschka Wanner. Work in progress.
details
latest draft
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The View from Space: Theory-based Time-varying Distances in the Gravity Model
. Update coming soon.
details
latest draft
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Measuring Venezuelan Emigration with Twitter
— with Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed A. Yıldırım.
details
link
- What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy — with David Baqaee, Moritz Schularick, Feodora Teti, Joschka Wanner and Sihwan Yang. Policy Paper. details link
- Blowback: The Effect of Sanctions on Democratic Election — with Matthieu Crozet. Kiel Working Papers, 2247. details
- Brothers in arms: The value of coalitions in sanctions regimes — with Sonali Chowdhry, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner. Accepted for publication at Economic Policy. details link
- Exchange Rate Pass-Around — with Matthieu Crozet and Federico Trionfetti. Kiel Working Papers, 2246. Reject and resubmit at Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics. details link
- To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support — with Robert Gold and Michele Valsecchi. Kiel Working Papers, 2212. details link
- State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in the Extensive Margin of Trade — with Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. Update coming soon. details link
- Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Fast Estimation of GLMs with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects — with Alexander Hudletz and Joschka Wanner. Work in progress. details latest draft
- The View from Space: Theory-based Time-varying Distances in the Gravity Model . Update coming soon. details latest draft
- Measuring Venezuelan Emigration with Twitter — with Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed A. Yıldırım. details link
Book Chapters
- 2019
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Cost of Sanctions: Estimating Lost Trade with Gravity
. In Disrupted Economic Relationships, CESifo Seminar Series at MIT Press, V. Nitsch and T. Besedeš eds.
details
link
- 2019
- Cost of Sanctions: Estimating Lost Trade with Gravity . In Disrupted Economic Relationships, CESifo Seminar Series at MIT Press, V. Nitsch and T. Besedeš eds. details link
Commentary
- 2022
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Sanctions coalitions: Stronger together
— with Sonali Chowdhry, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU.
link
- 2021
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Firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions
— with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU.
link
- 2018
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Venezuelans Deserve Refugee Status
— with Ricardo Hausmann. Project Syndicate.
link
- 2017
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Transpazifische Partnerschaft TPP: Totgeglaubte leben länger
. Wirtschaftsdienst.
link
- 2016
- 2022
- Sanctions coalitions: Stronger together — with Sonali Chowdhry, Katrin Kamin and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU. link
- 2021
- Firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions — with Matthieu Crozet, Amrei Stammann and Joschka Wanner. VoxEU. link
- 2018
- Venezuelans Deserve Refugee Status — with Ricardo Hausmann. Project Syndicate. link
- 2017
- Transpazifische Partnerschaft TPP: Totgeglaubte leben länger . Wirtschaftsdienst. link
- 2016
Policy Reports
- 2021
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Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen
— with Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Sonali Chowdhry, Anna-Katharina Jacobs, Sandra Kill and Alexander Sandkamp. IfW Studie.
link
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Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse
— with Martin Ademmer, Joscha Beckmann, Eckhardt Bode, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Manuel Funke, Philipp Hauber, Tobias Heidland, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths, Mareike Söder, Vincent Stamer and Ulrich Stolzenburg. Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik. No. 32, Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW), Kiel..
link
- 2020
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Datenmonitor global — Wie die Corona-Krise die Länder des globalen Südens trifft
— with Katrin Kamin, Jakob Kutsch, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. IfW Studie im Auftrag des Auswärtigen Amtes.
link
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The Economic Costs of War by Other Means
— with Sonali Chowdhry, Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Anna-Katharina Jacobs and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 147, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel..
link
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Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels
— with Gabriel Felbermayr, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 2.
link
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Germany's economy in times of the Corona Lockdown
— with Gabriel Felbermayr and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 1.
link
- 2017
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Russia’s and the EU’s Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward
— with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Franz Sinabell.
link
- 2016
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Auswirkungen der Wirtschaftssanktionen der EU und Russlands auf Wertschöpfung und Beschäftigung in Österreich und der EU
— with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Gerhard Streicher.
link
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Sanctions et embargos : quels impacts sur le commerce de la france vers la russie ?
— with Matthieu Crozet. La lettre du CEPII.
link
- 2021
- Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Sonali Chowdhry, Anna-Katharina Jacobs, Sandra Kill and Alexander Sandkamp. IfW Studie. link
- Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse — with Martin Ademmer, Joscha Beckmann, Eckhardt Bode, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Manuel Funke, Philipp Hauber, Tobias Heidland, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths, Mareike Söder, Vincent Stamer and Ulrich Stolzenburg. Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik. No. 32, Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW), Kiel.. link
- 2020
- Datenmonitor global — Wie die Corona-Krise die Länder des globalen Südens trifft — with Katrin Kamin, Jakob Kutsch, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. IfW Studie im Auftrag des Auswärtigen Amtes. link
- The Economic Costs of War by Other Means — with Sonali Chowdhry, Gabriel Felbermayr, Katrin Kamin, Anna-Katharina Jacobs and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 147, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel.. link
- Bodenbildung in der Binnenwirtschaft, Kollaps des Welthandels — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Hendrik Mahlkow and Vincent Stamer. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 2. link
- Germany's economy in times of the Corona Lockdown — with Gabriel Felbermayr and Hendrik Mahlkow. Kiel Policy Briefs, Spezial Corona-Update 1. link
- 2017
- Russia’s and the EU’s Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Franz Sinabell. link
- 2016
- Auswirkungen der Wirtschaftssanktionen der EU und Russlands auf Wertschöpfung und Beschäftigung in Österreich und der EU — with Elisabeth Christen, Oliver Fritz and Gerhard Streicher. link
- Sanctions et embargos : quels impacts sur le commerce de la france vers la russie ? — with Matthieu Crozet. La lettre du CEPII. link
Last updated on March 27, 2024. © Julian Hinz 1987–2024.