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    <title>trade data · Julian Hinz</title>
    <link>https://julianhinz.com/topics/trade-data/</link>
    <description>trade data by Julian Hinz.</description>
    <language>en</language>
    <managingEditor>mail@julianhinz.com (Julian Hinz)</managingEditor>
    <lastBuildDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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    <item>
      <title>PLAID</title>
      <link>https://julianhinz.com/data-code/plaid/</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://julianhinz.com/data-code/plaid/</guid>
      <dc:creator>Carsten Brockhaus</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Julian Hinz</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Irene Iodice</dc:creator>
      <category>AI</category>
      <category>trade data</category>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;a class=&#34;project-cover&#34; href=&#34;https://plaid.julianhinz.com&#34;&gt;&lt;img src=&#34;plaid-og-image.png&#34; alt=&#34;PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade&#34;&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=&#34;cta&#34;&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://plaid.julianhinz.com&#34;&gt;Explore PLAID →&lt;/a&gt; Bulk downloads, a JSON API, and an interactive explorer.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://plaid.julianhinz.com&#34;&gt;PLAID&lt;/a&gt; (Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database) provides six product-level indicators for international trade at the HS 6-digit level, generated by an ensemble of frontier large language models.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3 id=&#34;indicators&#34;&gt;Indicators&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;table&gt;
&lt;thead&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;th&gt;Indicator&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th&gt;Categories&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th&gt;Description&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Rauch&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;w / r / n&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Organised exchange, reference priced, or differentiated&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;BEC&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;capital / intermediate / consumption&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Broad Economic Categories end-use classification&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Perishability&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;1&amp;ndash;5&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Economic perishability scale with half-life estimate&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Hazmat&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;true / false&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;GHS/IMDG dangerous goods flag&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Microchip&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;true / false&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Semiconductor or integrated circuit content&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;3TG&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;true / false + mineral&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Tin, tantalum, tungsten, gold conflict mineral exposure&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;h3 id=&#34;coverage&#34;&gt;Coverage&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;All seven HS revisions: H0 (1992), H1 (1996), H2 (2002), H3 (2007), H4 (2012), H5 (2017), H6 (2022). Approximately 5,400 products per revision. Four-model ensemble with majority voting and uncertainty measures for each classification.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3 id=&#34;access&#34;&gt;Access&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Interactive explorer &amp;amp; downloads:&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;a href=&#34;https://plaid.julianhinz.com&#34;&gt;plaid.julianhinz.com&lt;/a&gt; (mirror: &lt;a href=&#34;https://trade.ifw-kiel.de/PLAID/&#34;&gt;trade.ifw-kiel.de/PLAID&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;JSON API:&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;code&gt;plaid.julianhinz.com/api/v0.1/{revision}/{code}.json&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Code &amp;amp; replication:&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;a href=&#34;https://github.com/julianhinz/PLAID&#34;&gt;github.com/julianhinz/PLAID&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Data is released under CC BY 4.0, code under MIT.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade</title>
      <link>https://julianhinz.com/research/plaid/</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://julianhinz.com/research/plaid/</guid>
      <dc:creator>Carsten Brockhaus</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Julian Hinz</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Irene Iodice</dc:creator>
      <category>gravity models</category>
      <category>AI</category>
      <category>trade data</category>
      <description>&lt;figure&gt;&lt;img src=&#34;heterogeneity-within-SITC.png&#34;
         alt=&#34;HS-6 level Rauch classifications reveal substantial heterogeneity within individual SITC headings.&#34;/&gt;&lt;figcaption&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;HS-6 level Rauch classifications reveal substantial heterogeneity within individual SITC headings.&lt;/p&gt;
        &lt;/figcaption&gt;
&lt;/figure&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Empirical trade research routinely relies on product-level indicators &amp;ndash; whether goods are homogeneous or differentiated, perishable or durable, hazardous or benign &amp;ndash; but existing classifications were built for older nomenclatures and have not kept pace with modern HS data. Mapping them forward through concordance tables introduces measurement error that is difficult to quantify and impossible to fix at the source.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;PLAID takes a different approach. An ensemble of four frontier LLMs independently reads each HS 6-digit product description and classifies it, with majority voting across models and built-in uncertainty quantification through inter-model disagreement. The beta release (v0.1) provides six indicators across all seven HS revisions since 1992:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Rauch classification&lt;/strong&gt; (organised exchange / reference priced / differentiated)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;BEC end-use&lt;/strong&gt; (capital / intermediate / consumption)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Economic perishability&lt;/strong&gt; (five-class scale with half-life estimate)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Hazardous materials&lt;/strong&gt; (GHS/IMDG dangerous goods flag)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Semiconductor content&lt;/strong&gt; (microchip/IC presence)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;3TG conflict minerals&lt;/strong&gt; (tin, tantalum, tungsten, gold)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Each indicator is validated against external benchmarks where available and demonstrated to be empirically relevant through gravity applications. All data and code are open.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Website: &lt;a href=&#34;https://plaid.julianhinz.com&#34;&gt;plaid.julianhinz.com&lt;/a&gt; (mirror: &lt;a href=&#34;https://trade.ifw-kiel.de/PLAID/&#34;&gt;trade.ifw-kiel.de/PLAID&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;
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