# Recent Talks

- URL: https://julianhinz.com/talks/

- 2026-10-15: "Critical raw materials and the defence industry (session)", MERICS European China Conference, Berlin
- 2026-10-02: "Wer trägt Deutschlands Abhängigkeiten?", Workshop “Resiliente Lieferketten”, Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWE), Berlin
- 2026-09-26: "Europas Rolle in der Weltwirtschaft: Chancen und Risiken", Männerfrühstück, Begegnungszentrum Buddemeier, Ladbergen
- 2026-09-18: "Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market", Panel “Trade and Trade Wars”, World Trade Forum 2026, University of Bern. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260918_Bern. Paper: [Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market](https://julianhinz.com/research/tariffs_hit_differently/index.md)
- 2026-06-30: "Discussion of “China tariffs” — by Antràs & Presbitero", 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260630_CC_Discussion
- 2026-06-30: "Competing with China in Third Markets", 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260630_CC_CWC. Paper: [Competing with China in Third Markets](https://julianhinz.com/research/competing_with_china_third_markets/index.md)
- 2026-06-24: "Der zweite China-Schock (panel)", Greater China Day, IHK Düsseldorf. Paper: [Competing with China in Third Markets](https://julianhinz.com/research/competing_with_china_third_markets/index.md)
- 2026-06-16: "Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures", Research Seminar, RWTH Aachen. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260616_Aachen. Paper: [Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures](https://julianhinz.com/research/navigating_shocks/index.md)
- 2026-06-11: "Ukraine Support Tariff", Roundtable lunch “Endgame”, Kiel Institute, Berlin. Paper: [The Ukraine Support Tariff: How Europe Can Support Ukraine and Weaken Russia](https://julianhinz.com/research/ukraine_support_tariff/index.md)
- 2026-05-09: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support", VfS Ausschuss Außenwirtschaft, Heidelberg. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260509_VfS_Heidelberg_de. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2026-04-23: "Modelling Trade Policies Using the KITE Model", OECD Chief Economists Meeting, Paris. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260423_OECD
- 2026-04-16: "AI Bootcamp: Tools for Economic Research", Kiel Institute AI Days, Kiel
- 2026-04-09: "Trade and Geoeconomics", Best of Geoeconomics @ Kiel Institute — Next-Geo Program, Kiel. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260409_Kiel
- 2026-02-27: "Global Trade Under Pressure: Status Quo, Scenarios, and Trade Diversion", Europe 360°, BDI — Brussels
- 2026-01-29: "Who Pays the Tariffs?", Bundesfinanzministerium, Berlin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/260129_BMF. Paper: [Who Pays the Tariffs?](https://julianhinz.com/research/who_pays_the_tariffs/index.md)
- 2025-12-12: "Discussion of “Gravity in AI: How Digital Infrastructure Pulls Its Diffusion” — by Nuriye Bilgin & Gianmarco Ottaviano", Workshop on “AI, digitization and trade patterns” — PSE, Paris. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251212_PSE
- 2025-11-24: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", DICE Düsseldorf, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251124_Dusseldorf. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2025-11-24: ".ice — Shareable Calibration Files for Quantitative Trade Models — December 5, 2025", Workshop on NQTMs for Policy Advice, Berlin, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251205_NQTM_Workshop
- 2025-11-12: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Johannes Kepler University in Linz, Austria. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251112_Linz. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2025-11-10: "Freier Handel in der globalen Wirtschaft", Ringvorlesung Wirtschaftspolitik in einer neuen globalen (Un-)Ordnung, Universität zu Köln. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251110_Koeln
- 2025-11-04: "Die Entwicklung der globalen Warenströme: Der Versuch eines Szenarios", BGA Außenwirtschaftsausschuss
- 2025-10-13: "Trade in the Crosshairs: Simulating the Impact of Tariffs and Geopolitical Tensions on the Global Economy", EJF Brown Bag, Asian Development Bank, online. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251013_ADB
- 2025-10-11: "The Geographical Incidence of Trade Wars: Regional Outcomes across Europe and the Role of the Single Market", World Trade Forum at EUI — Florence. Slides: https://jhi.nz/251011_EUI. Paper: [Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market](https://julianhinz.com/research/tariffs_hit_differently/index.md)
- 2025-07-08: "Economic Impact of Trade Policies", Abu Dhabi Department of Finance, online. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250708_ADDOF
- 2025-06-25: "Quo vadis Globalisierung?", Dezernat Zukunft - Berlin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250625_DZ_Globalisierung
- 2025-06-18: "When dispersed teams are more successful: Evidence from software", WU Wien. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250618_WU_GOOSS. Paper: [When dispersed teams are more successful: Theory and evidence from software](https://julianhinz.com/research/gravity_oss/index.md)
- 2025-06-11: "Discussion of “The Economic Consequences of Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea” by Charles Serfaty", Banque de France - Paris. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250611_BdF_RedSea
- 2025-06-10: "When dispersed teams are more successful: Evidence from software", OECD, Paris. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250610_OECD_Collaboration. Paper: [When dispersed teams are more successful: Theory and evidence from software](https://julianhinz.com/research/gravity_oss/index.md)
- 2025-05-26: "Zukunft der Stahlindustrie in Deutschland und Europa: Internationales Umfeld", Fachgespräch: Perspektiven der Stahlindustrie in Deutschland und Europa - Online. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250526_IP-Lab
- 2025-05-19: "Wie umgehen mit Europas China-Schock? Auswirkungen vom US-China Zollkrieg auf Europa", Bertelsmann Roundtable - Berlin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250519_Bertelsmann
- 2025-05-13: "Zölle und Unsicherheit: Eine neue Ära des Protektionismus?", Öffentliche Vorlesung, Universität Bielefeld - Bielefeld. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250513_Bielefeld
- 2025-04-29: "Trade in the Crosshairs: The Impact of Tariffs on the Global Economy", 109th International Business Cycle Forum - Hamburg. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250429_KKG
- 2025-04-28: "Trade in the Crosshairs: Simulating the Impact of Tariffs and Geopolitical Tensions on the Global Economy", EIB - Luxembourg. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250428_EIB
- 2025-04-26: "Diverting trade: Where do Chinese exports to the US go now?", Fudan University, hybrid event. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250426_Fudan
- 2025-04-16: "The “Liberation day” tariff package and the European response", CEPR RN Geoeconomics, online. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250416_CEPR
- 2025-03-26: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Bocconi University in Milan, Italy. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250326_Bocconi. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2025-03-18: "Handel im Fadenkreuz: Folgen von Zöllen und geopolitischen Spannungen für die Weltwirtschaft", Munich, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250318_STMWI
- 2025-03-12: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Siena University, Italy. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250312_Siena. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2025-02-17: "NRW Beirat Außenwirtschaft: Wirtschaftliche Auswirkungen von Trumps Handelspolitik", Düsseldorf, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250217_NRW_Beirat
- 2025-01-29: "Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures", IFC-i-MIP-WTO Workshop on International Fragmentation in Paris, France. Slides: https://jhi.nz/250129_Paris
- 2024-12-17: "Trade Agreements and Informality in Africa", Abschlussworkshop des "Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Clusters Afrikaforschung" in Berlin, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/241217_WCA_informality
- 2024-12-03: "US Trade Policy after 2024: What is at Stake for Europe?", DG GROW Economics Seminar in Brussels, Belgium. Slides: https://jhi.nz/241203_GEM
- 2024-11-20: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Wifo in Vienna, Austria. Slides: https://jhi.nz/241120_Wifo. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2024-10-18: "Discussion of: "Trade Sanctions"", Kiel-CEPR Geoeconomics Conference in Berlin, Germany. Slides: https://jhi.nz/241018_Discussion_Trade_Sanctions
- 2024-10-17: "Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures", PSE Workshop on Globalization, Trade and Shipping. Slides: https://jhi.nz/241017_PSE_shipping_shocks
- 2024-10-10: "China and the future of the German automotive industry", Global China Conversations (online). Slides: https://jhi.nz/241010_GCC
- 2024-09-19: "Discussion of: "Intermediaries in International Trade: Managing Sanctions and Polarization"", "Fifth Biennial Conference “Macroeconomic adjustments after large global shocks" in Vilnius, Lithuania". Slides: https://jhi.nz/240919_Intermediaries
- 2024-08-22: "Handel im Wandel: Die EU, China und die USA zwischen Zöllen und Wahlen", Kiel Institute Global Economy Executive Roundtable. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240822_Kiel_Roundtable
- 2024-07-04: "Economic Dependencies between Germany/Europe and China", Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (online). Slides: https://jhi.nz/240704_KAS. Paper: [What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy](https://julianhinz.com/research/what_if_china/index.md)
- 2024-07-03: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Trier University. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240703_Trier. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2024-07-02: "Economic Dependencies between Germany/Europe and China", Leonardo Lecture at RWTH Aachen. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240702_RWTH. Paper: [What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy](https://julianhinz.com/research/what_if_china/index.md)
- 2024-06-28: "What If? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy", SED Conference Barcelona. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240628_SED. Paper: [What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy](https://julianhinz.com/research/what_if_china/index.md)
- 2024-06-18: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Paris Trade Seminar. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240618_PSE. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2024-05-28: "Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes", EUI wiiw Webinar. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240528_EUI_wiiw. Paper: [Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes](https://julianhinz.com/research/shooting_down_trade/index.md)
- 2024-05-27: "Status quo der EU-Handelspolitik", Europaunion Hamburg. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240527_Europaunion_Hamburg
- 2024-05-02: "Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes", CEPII Paris. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240502_CEPII. Paper: [Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes](https://julianhinz.com/research/shooting_down_trade/index.md)
- 2024-04-05: "Discussion of “The Implications of the Interplay between Global Value Chains and Technology for Labour Productivity and Demand”", RETHINK GSC Consortium Meeting Dublin. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240405_Dublin
- 2024-03-27: "Kiel Institute work on Global Value Chains", OECD Forum on Critical Supply Chains. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240327_OECD
- 2024-02-22: "Spatial frictions in the market for talent", Universität Bielefeld Fakultätsklausur in Gehrden. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240222_gehrden. Paper: [Frictions impede assortative matching in a global market for talent](https://julianhinz.com/research/market_for_talent/index.md)
- 2024-02-09: "Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes", Sanctions Workshop at Drexel University. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240209_drexel. Paper: [Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes](https://julianhinz.com/research/shooting_down_trade/index.md)
- 2024-01-23: "Die Zukunft der Globalisierung — (wie) können Deutschland und Europa sich behaupten?", VDSt Hannover. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240123_VDSt_Hannover
- 2024-01-04: "To Russia With Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Elections", Istanbul Applied Economics Workshop. Slides: https://jhi.nz/240104_istanbul. Paper: [To Russia with Love? The Impact of Sanctions on Regime Support](https://julianhinz.com/research/sanctions_and_russian_elections/index.md)
- 2023-12-11: "Firm-level effects of sanctions", 2024 IATRC Annual Meeting in Clearwater Beach, FL. Slides: https://jhi.nz/231211_IATRC
- 2023-10-18: "The Impact of China De-risking on the German Economy", Pre-conference for the ITCEI on Economic Security in Brussels. Slides: https://jhi.nz/231018_ITCEI. Paper: [What if? The Effects of a Hard Decoupling from China on the German Economy](https://julianhinz.com/research/what_if_china/index.md)
- 2023-10-13: "Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes", World Trade Forum at EUI. Slides: https://jhi.nz/231013_EUI. Paper: [Shooting down trade: Firm-level effects of embargoes](https://julianhinz.com/research/shooting_down_trade/index.md)
- 2023-09-29: "Spatial frictions in the market for talent", REUS Workshop at CEU Vienna. Slides: https://jhi.nz/230929_REUS. Paper: [Frictions impede assortative matching in a global market for talent](https://julianhinz.com/research/market_for_talent/index.md)
- 2023-09-15: "Spatial frictions in the market for talent", ETSG 2023 Conference in Surrey, UK. Slides: https://jhi.nz/230915_ETSG. Paper: [Frictions impede assortative matching in a global market for talent](https://julianhinz.com/research/market_for_talent/index.md)